LAB / WMSI-EXP-018

Ecological Niche Formation.

Will heterogeneous agents self-specialize into roles without prescribed routing?

STATUS / PROTOCOL DRAFTPRIORITY / P0 — First-wave / coreREGISTRY / 26 SEP 2026 · V1.0

01 / QUESTION

Swarms, Social Structure, and Artificial Ecology

Will heterogeneous agents self-specialize into roles without prescribed routing?

PLANNED RESEARCH

This is a protocol scaffold, not a completed experiment or a frozen execution plan. No measured effect or research conclusion is claimed here.

Hypothesis to test

The manipulation described below produces a reproducible, condition-specific change in the measured system behavior or internal state that is not explained by the ordinary controls.

Ordinary competing explanation

The observed pattern is explained by ordinary sampling variation, prompt/representation artifacts, surface lexical cues, evaluator bias, or the known product/runtime mechanics captured by the controls.

02 / PLANNED DESIGN

How we intend to test it

Persistent mixed-model group receives diverse tasks with free delegation.

Controls

Fixed-router baseline; random-router baseline.

What we would measure

Task allocation, specialization entropy, performance, routing stability.

Access and instruments

Ordinary software or API access. This describes access requirements, not verified readiness on our Spark.

Agent orchestrator; task router logs.

Before a full run

Feasibility=NOW; priority=P0. Before confirmatory execution, run a small pilot to estimate variance/cost, freeze the scoring rules, and assign a run-count target.

Model revisions, final prompts, sample sizes, cost limits, and scoring rules must be settled through the pilot and protocol-freeze process.

03 / INTERPRETATION

What could fool us

Prompt-order effects, identity-label priors, hidden router effects, one dominant capability gap.

What would weaken the idea

If free groups never outperform simple routing or fail to stabilize niches, niche formation is weak.

Observation, inference, speculation, unknowns, and apparatus errors will be labeled separately. One striking transcript cannot establish a general effect.

04 / RECORD

Evidence we plan to preserve

Full message graph, task assignments, votes/delegations, timing, agent identity mapping, outcomes.

Planned visual evidence

Task-model bipartite graph; specialization heatmap.

No research runs or raw datasets are published for this experiment. The September 26, 2026 registry and protocol compendium (version 1.0) are the sources for this planning record.

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